Risk On/Risk Off Hedgefundie (No K-1) v1.1
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A tax‑friendly, risk‑on/risk‑off take on HFEA: flee to short Treasuries in crashes, hedge in rising‑rate regimes, and use leveraged stock/bond Mix only when rates fall and markets are calm.
It first checks for a volatility spike; if yes, it parks in short‑term Treasuries for safety.
If bonds have recently beaten cash, it goes risk‑on into 3 leveraged funds (tech, Nasdaq, S&P 500, or long Treasuries), picking the ones that look least overheated.
If long Treasuries have lagged cash (rising rates), it holds the U.S. dollar and adds either a short‑tech or short‑Treasury hedge—whichever has been steadier.
If rates look friendly and markets haven’t fallen sharply, it runs a refined HFEA mix (about 55% 3x S&P 500, 45% 3x long Treasuries). If markets just had a sharp drop, it instead shifts to a defensive mix of medium/short Treasuries, TIPS, and gold.
It rebalances when positions drift too far.
Out-of-sample edge: 22.73% annualized return (vs ~22.05% S&P), Calmar 0.40, Sharpe 0.67. Crash shield and rate-hedges lock in upside in calm/falling-rate periods; tax-friendly ETFs (no K-1).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355.73% | 13.22% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.81 | |
| 39,994.19% | 63.35% | 0.72% | -2.23% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,009,418.88Regulatory Fees
$14,877.42
Total Slippage
$96,193.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, volatility filter, rate regime filter, crash protection, hfea 55/45, inverse hedging, tax-friendly (no k-1)
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks