Risk On/Risk Off Hedgefundie (No K-1) v1.1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A K‑1‑free, rules-based spin on HFEA. It goes risk‑on with leveraged stocks/bonds when rates are friendly, and flips to cash-like Treasuries, USD, gold, or inverse hedges when fear spikes, rates rise, or after sharp drops.
Panic check: if a “fear index” ETF (VIXM) is jumping (high RSI = fast rise), park in short‑term Treasuries (SHY).
If not, rates test: if broad bonds (BND) beat cash, go risk‑on and put ~2/3 in leveraged tech/Nasdaq/S&P/long‑bond funds that look coolest short‑term (low RSI).
If long bonds lag cash (rising rates), hold US dollar (USDU) + one hedge (SQQQ or TBF).
If rates are falling and no sharp 10‑day drop, run 55% UPRO/45% TMF; else hold IEI, TIP, BSV, GLD.
Out-of-sample edge: ~22.7% annualized return vs 22.0% for the S&P, with built-in risk-off hedges (treasuries, USD, gold, inverse hedges) and selective leverage in favorable markets. K‑1‑free, rules-based, diversified, aims for steadier compounding.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 40,279.17% | 63.68% | -0.85% | -3.14% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,037,916.69Regulatory Fees
$14,631.76
Total Slippage
$94,592.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Rules-based, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged equities, treasuries, gold, usd, hedging, crash-protection, no k-1, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks