Risk On/Risk Off Hedgefundie (No K-1) v1.1
Today’s Change (Jul 21, 2026)
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About
A tax‑friendly, risk‑on/risk‑off take on HFEA: flee to short Treasuries in crashes, hedge in rising‑rate regimes, and use leveraged stock/bond Mix only when rates fall and markets are calm.
It first checks for a volatility spike; if yes, it parks in short‑term Treasuries for safety.
If bonds have recently beaten cash, it goes risk‑on into 3 leveraged funds (tech, Nasdaq, S&P 500, or long Treasuries), picking the ones that look least overheated.
If long Treasuries have lagged cash (rising rates), it holds the U.S. dollar and adds either a short‑tech or short‑Treasury hedge—whichever has been steadier.
If rates look friendly and markets haven’t fallen sharply, it runs a refined HFEA mix (about 55% 3x S&P 500, 45% 3x long Treasuries). If markets just had a sharp drop, it instead shifts to a defensive mix of medium/short Treasuries, TIPS, and gold.
It rebalances when positions drift too far.
Dynamic, tax-friendly risk-on/risk-off strategy with volatility crash guards and rate-aware hedging. Out-of-sample: 18.96% annualized vs SPY 21.35%, Calmar 0.33, Sharpe 0.61—delivers diversification and downside control when rates or volatility spike.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 1.07 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406.86% | 13.8% | -0.31% | 4.98% | 0.84 | |
| 35,593.67% | 59.72% | 14.51% | -1.63% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,569,367.24Regulatory Fees
$12,687.52
Total Slippage
$106,290.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, volatility filter, rate regime filter, crash protection, hfea 55/45, inverse hedging, tax-friendly (no k-1)
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks