Risk Adjusted RSI Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily RSI-based tilt between TECL (levered tech) and SHV (short-term bonds) using RSI of TQQQ. Low RSI bets big on TECL; higher RSI shifts toward SHV in fixed steps to reduce risk.
What the strategy does in plain terms:
- It measures a short-term momentum signal (RSI over 10 days) on a highly leveraged tech ETF (TQQQ).
- It uses that signal to decide how to split a small two-asset portfolio between TECL (riskier tech exposure) and SHV (safer, cash-like bond exposure).
- If the signal is very negative (RSI under 15), it puts everything into TECL (hoping for a rebound on a very oversold condition).
- As the signal moves up (RSI rising toward 31), the split gradually shifts toward SHV, reducing exposure to the leveraged tech bet.
- The daily rebalancing ensures the portfolio stays aligned with the latest signal.
- The calculator-style ladder is built into the rules: each RSI band has a fixed TECL/SHV weight, e.g., around 93/7, 86/14, 79/21, and so on, down to a near 0/100 tilt as RSI approaches the upper bands.
- The intent is to balance the potential for upside in tech with protection from drawdowns by holding more cash-like assets as momentum signals worsen.
RSI-driven TECL/SHV tilt delivers risk-controlled upside vs SPY: oos return ~22.52%, max drawdown 7.25% vs 18.76%, Calmar ~3.11. Daily rebalancing captures tech upside while limiting downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707.4% | 13.92% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 633.01% | 13.24% | 0.25% | 3.38% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$73,301.31Regulatory Fees
$80.14
Total Slippage
$349.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-adjusted, rsi-based, leveraged-equity, tactical-asset-allocation, two-asset, daily-rebalance