Rising Rates with Vol Switch | KYLE MOD + Jefe
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules-based playbook for a rising‑rates world: reads QQQ and Treasury signals to rotate into leveraged sector/growth bulls when calm, shift to managed futures or 3x shorts under stress, and use a volatility hedge when markets look too hot.
Checks daily gauges: QQQ (big‑tech) and long‑Treasuries.
- QQQ very hot → hedge with UVXY (volatility).
- QQQ very cold → buy the more beaten‑down of TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) or BSV (short‑term bonds).
- QQQ falling fast → DBMF (managed futures) or SQQQ (3x short Nasdaq).
- Bonds tumbling → DBMF or TMV (3x short bonds).
- Calm → spread across 3x bulls (TQQQ, UPRO, FAS, SOXL, CURE, LABU, TMF) sized by recent stability. Rebalanced daily.
An out-of-sample, rising-rate strategy using tactical shifts to leveraged bets, managed futures, and volatility hedges. Targeting ~53% annualized return vs SPY ~21%, with drawdowns up to ~50%—great upside, higher risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 0.82 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.43% | 15.92% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.84 | |
| 96,240.72% | 183.95% | 5.03% | -2.27% | 2.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,634,072.49Regulatory Fees
$30,715.27
Total Slippage
$208,233.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,risk-on/risk-off,leveraged etfs,volatility timing,trend-following,rising-rate hedge,managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks