Rising Rates with Vol Switch | KYLE MOD + Jefe
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based rotation for rising‑rate times: own leveraged stock sectors when Nasdaq/Treasuries are calm; flip to crash/defensive hedges (UVXY, SQQQ, TMV, DBMF) when stress hits. Uses RSI “heat” checks and volatility‑based sizing. High risk.
It watches two markets: QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) and long bonds (TMF). RSI is a short‑term “heat meter” (0–100).
- If QQQ is very hot (>79), it buys UVXY (a volatility spike hedge).
- If QQQ is very cold (<32), it buys the more beaten‑down of TQQQ (3x Nasdaq bull) or BSV (short‑term bonds).
- If QQQ just fell a lot, it shifts to SQQQ (3x Nasdaq bear) or DBMF (managed‑futures diversifier).
- If long bonds crack, it uses TMV (3x short bonds) or DBMF.
- Otherwise, it holds a low‑vol‑weighted mix of 3x stock‑sector funds (e.g., financials, healthcare, semis, biotech), plus TMF. Rebalanced daily. High risk due to leverage.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~53% vs ~21% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.06 and Sharpe ~1.29. Regime-aware hedges plus leveraged equity exposure target faster growth and stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, volatility switch, rising-rates hedging, managed futures, leveraged etfs, daily rebalancing, momentum/mean-reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks