Rising Rates with Vol Switch | KYLE MOD + Jefe
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based risk‑on/risk‑off plan for a rising‑rates world. It watches tech (QQQ) and long Treasuries (TMF): when calm, it tilts into several 3x stock/sector ETFs; when stressed or extreme, it flips to volatility, managed futures, bonds, or 3x bear hedges.
Daily rules:
- If QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) is extremely hot, buy UVXY (volatility hedge).
- If QQQ is washed out, buy the more oversold of TQQQ (3x QQQ) or BSV (short‑term bonds).
- If QQQ is sliding, pick DBMF (managed futures) or SQQQ (3x QQQ bear), favoring the one most beaten down.
- If long Treasuries (TMF) are sliding, pick DBMF or TMV (3x Treasury bear).
- Else spread across TMF, FAS, TQQQ, CURE, SOXL, UPRO, LABU, giving more to steadier ones.
Out-of-sample, this rule-based strategy targets rising rates with risk-on/risk-off hedges to chase upside. ~53% annualized vs SPY ~21%; Sharpe ~1.29, Calmar ~1.06. Note higher drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | 0.84 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.47% | 15.33% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 92,074.55% | 176.57% | 1.58% | -1.55% | 2.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,217,454.50Regulatory Fees
$31,275.82
Total Slippage
$212,089.09
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,risk-on/risk-off,leveraged etfs,volatility hedge,managed futures,rising rates,inverse-vol weighting,mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks