RINF Test 2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, ~25% tactical sleeve. If inflation expectations trend up (RINF), it either swings into TQQQ (3× Nasdaq) or parks in T‑bills. If not, it tactically trades long‑dated Treasuries (TMF/TMV/TLT/SHV/BND) using trend and overbought/oversold cues.
Each day:
- If RINF (inflation‑expectations ETF) is above its 200‑day average, compare 15‑day strength of BND (bonds) vs QQQ (Nasdaq). If bonds look stronger, hold TQQQ (3× Nasdaq); otherwise BIL (T‑bills).
- If RINF isn’t above trend, trade long‑Treasuries: buy TMF (3× long) if oversold; else if TMV (3× short) is trending and not overheated, hold TMV; if overheated, use SHV (very short Treasuries) or TLT (unlevered long). Otherwise BND. Daily rebalance. ~25% sleeve.
Outperforms the S&P: ~61% annualized return vs ~21%, higher Sharpe (~1.32 vs 1.22) and Calmar ~1.48. Exploits inflation regimes with macro regime switching and leveraged/bond bets for big upside; but beware larger max drawdown (~41%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical macro, inflation regime, momentum/trend, treasuries, leveraged etfs, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RINF
ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks