RINF Test 2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, ~25% tactical sleeve. If inflation expectations trend up (RINF), it either swings into TQQQ (3× Nasdaq) or parks in T‑bills. If not, it tactically trades long‑dated Treasuries (TMF/TMV/TLT/SHV/BND) using trend and overbought/oversold cues.
Each day:
- If RINF (inflation‑expectations ETF) is above its 200‑day average, compare 15‑day strength of BND (bonds) vs QQQ (Nasdaq). If bonds look stronger, hold TQQQ (3× Nasdaq); otherwise BIL (T‑bills).
- If RINF isn’t above trend, trade long‑Treasuries: buy TMF (3× long) if oversold; else if TMV (3× short) is trending and not overheated, hold TMV; if overheated, use SHV (very short Treasuries) or TLT (unlevered long). Otherwise BND. Daily rebalance. ~25% sleeve.
Outperforms the S&P: ~61% annualized return vs ~21%, higher Sharpe (~1.32 vs 1.22) and Calmar ~1.48. Exploits inflation regimes with macro regime switching and leveraged/bond bets for big upside; but beware larger max drawdown (~41%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.72 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.12% | 14.56% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.89 | |
| 19,354.68% | 48.55% | -6.8% | 3.52% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,945,468.09Regulatory Fees
$5,648.40
Total Slippage
$35,498.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical macro, inflation regime, momentum/trend, treasuries, leveraged etfs, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RINF
ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks