RINF BondCeption
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A fast-moving market-timing strategy that uses inflation, bond, and momentum signals to jump between aggressive tech bets, bearish funds, gold, volatility, and a small stock basket.
This strategy checks whether inflation expectations are trending up using RINF. If they are, it looks for extreme stock-market conditions: when markets look too hot it may buy volatility (VIXY) or gold (GLD); when they look washed out it may buy aggressive tech or financial funds. If none of those extremes apply, it uses bond-market signals as a “health check” to decide between very aggressive Nasdaq exposure (TQQQ) and a concentrated stock basket of Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, Costco, and either Progressive or GE.
If inflation expectations are not trending up, it switches to a Nasdaq-focused system: it buys strong Nasdaq funds in uptrends, bearish inverse funds in weakness, or tries to buy the weakest Nasdaq fund for a bounce.
Out-of-sample annualized return: 32.05% vs 18.82% for the S&P, with max drawdown 40.08% vs 18.76%. Regime-switching, inflation signals and momentum aim for bigger upside in up markets, but with higher drawdown in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 1.13 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 594.97% | 14.91% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.92 | |
| 2,363,009.84% | 105.81% | 11.12% | 24.54% | 2.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$236,310,983.74Regulatory Fees
$652,439.05
Total Slippage
$6,251,808.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DOG
ProShares Short Dow30
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GE
GE Aerospace
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks