Retirement - Sector Reversion & Beta Flipping (Quarterly)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A contrarian sector-rotation strategy that buys recent losers (US/global sectors and Treasuries), adds diversifiers (managed futures, gold), and uses a leveraged sleeve (3x S&P 500 plus a “beta flipping” module). Rebalanced quarterly; can be volatile.
Your money is split into four sleeves:
- Sector bounce trades: Pick the 3 worst recent performers among sector ETFs and Treasuries (US and global lists) and buy them, expecting a short-term rebound.
- Diversifiers: Managed futures (CTA, KMLM) and gold (GLD).
- Leverage: 3x S&P 500 (UPRO) plus a module that buys 2 recent losers from four choices: anti‑beta (BTAL), long Treasuries (ZROZ), or leveraged Tech/Health pairs (TECL+VGT, CURE+VHT).
- A small overlay leans into whichever sector set (US vs global) has lagged. Rebalanced quarterly.
Out-of-sample edge: 32.6% annualized return vs 30.7% for the S&P, with a Calmar ~1.47, offering solid risk-adjusted upside despite ~22% max drawdown. Diversified sleeves and beta-flipping leverage seek stronger growth with managed risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.88 | 0.94 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.19% | 16.64% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.99 | |
| 101.71% | 20.13% | -1.69% | 3.26% | 0.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,171.11Regulatory Fees
$3.09
Total Slippage
$20.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 12, 2025
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, treasuries, managed futures, gold, dynamic allocation, quarterly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
EXI
iShares Global Industrials ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
Stocks
IXG
iShares Global Financials ETF
Stocks
IXJ
iShares Global Healthcare ETF
Stocks