Refined HFEA - 8% | https://www.investorcollab.com
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rate‑aware, crash‑gated take on HFEA. It hedges crashes, buys dips in 3× equity ETFs when conditions are benign, defends with USD + inverse assets when rates rise, and runs 55% UPRO/45% TMF only when rates fall and stocks aren’t plunging.
- Crash check: if VIXM’s 40‑day RSI (a 0–100 heat score) >69, hold SPXS (3× short S&P).
- Else if BND 60‑day return > BIL: buy the 3 lowest‑RSI of TECL/SOXL/FAS/TQQQ/UPRO (3× bull tech/semis/fin/Nasdaq/S&P); leave the rest in BIL.
- Else if TLT’s 20‑day trend <0 (rates rising): split USDU (long USD) and the weaker of SQQQ (3× short Nasdaq) or TBF (short Treasuries).
- Else (rates falling): if SPY’s 10‑day drawdown <5% run 55% UPRO + 45% TMF; else BIL.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~27% vs S&P ~23.7%, with a rate-aware, crash-hedged, regime-switching design that aims to capture upside in favorable regimes while defending in volatility, though drawdowns can be large in stress periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 1.12 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 162,488.81% | 83.51% | 0.46% | -4.47% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,258,880.83Regulatory Fees
$54,161.81
Total Slippage
$371,627.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical regime-switching, rate-aware, leveraged etfs, crash hedge, mean reversion, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks