Refined HFEA - 8% | https://www.investorcollab.com
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A risk‑managed, tactical take on HFEA: it runs a 55% 3x S&P / 45% 3x long‑Treasury mix only when rates are falling and no fresh plunge; otherwise it rotates to dollar strength, short stock/bond hedges, or select 3x bull funds, with a panic override.
Decisions, in order:
1) Panic? If a volatility ETF’s 0–100 heat score is high, switch to a fund that rises when the S&P 500 falls.
2) If bonds beat cash lately, buy three 3x bull funds (tech, semis, financials, Nasdaq, S&P) that look least hot.
3) If bonds don’t beat cash and long Treasuries are falling (rates up), hold a strong‑dollar fund plus either short‑Nasdaq or short‑Treasury.
4) Otherwise (rates down), run 55% S&P 500 3x / 45% long‑Treasury 3x—unless the S&P fell ~5%, then use T‑bills ~1 month.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~27% vs ~23.7% for the S&P, with macro regime tilts and crash hedges for higher upside. Expect more drawdown and a lower risk-adjusted Sharpe, but potential for outsized gains.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, macro regime rotation, volatility filter, trend + mean reversion, crash protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks