đź§ŞRefined HFEA - 8%
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A regime‑switching, high‑octane strategy: hedge hard in crashes, buy dips in growth during normal times, defend when rates rise, and otherwise run a 55/45 UPRO/TMF core—using simple “hot/cold” signals, trend checks, and a 5% drawdown safety valve.
It’s a rule‑based, switchable portfolio.
1) If market fear spikes (VIXM’s “hot/cold” meter is very hot), go 3x short the S&P 500 (SPXS).
2) Else, if bonds have recently beaten cash, buy the 3 most “oversold” 3x bull funds among tech/semis/financials/Nasdaq/S&P.
3) Else, if long‑term Treasuries trend down (rates rising), hold USD (USDU) plus one “oversold” short (SQQQ or TBF).
4) Else, run 55% UPRO + 45% TMF unless SPY just fell ~5%+, then sit in T‑bills (BIL). Rebalance only if weights drift ~8%.
Out-of-sample edge: higher annualized return (22.53% vs SPY's 22.17%), plus crash hedges and regime switching that seek growth in normal markets while defending in volatility, an upside-driving, risk-controlled alternative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 1.12 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 162,488.81% | 83.51% | 0.46% | -4.47% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,258,880.83Regulatory Fees
$54,161.81
Total Slippage
$371,627.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical asset allocation, regime switching, risk management, momentum/mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks