[Reduced V4] ManuMB BlackSwan Catcher
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily crash‑catcher: hedge fast in panics (UVXY, inverse ETFs or cash), then pounce on rebounds in leveraged tech/semis when they look washed out, guided by RSI and the bond trend. Uses many leveraged funds. High risk and highly tactical.
Each day it asks: 1) Is there a crash? If SPY/QQQ plunge or volatility jumps, it buys UVXY (a fund tied to market volatility), inverse ETFs, or holds BIL (T‑bills). 2) What’s the rate trend? Uses Treasuries to pick TMF (3x long bonds) or TMV (3x short). 3) Are prices stretched? It uses RSI (a 0–100 “speed” gauge): sell rips (buy UVXY) when very high; buy rebounds in TQQQ/SOXL/UPRO (3x tech/semis/S&P) when very low. Prefers calmer picks when allocating.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.16 vs SPY ~0.96; max drawdown ~27.7% vs ~18.8%; annualized return ~77% vs ~17%; Calmar ~2.79. A crash-hedge plus rebound engine: stronger risk-adjusted upside than the S&P 500, with defensible limits.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 581.01% | 14.49% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 201,867.7% | 71.05% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,196,769.78Regulatory Fees
$17,944.00
Total Slippage
$124,702.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crash protection, tactical trading, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, mean reversion, trend following, multi-asset, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPTL
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks