[Reduced V4] ManuMB BlackSwan Catcher
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, multi-layered, rule-based system that rotates among leveraged growth ETFs and hedges/defense assets, guided by RSI, momentum, volatility, and drawdown signals to chase gains while curbing risk through dynamic risk-off allocations.
What you do: Each day, the system looks at many signals (momentum, trend, volatility, and strength) across a wide set of ETFs. It groups assets into regimes such as risk-on (growth-focused), risk-off (protective), and defense (stability). For each regime, it ranks assets using metrics like RSI (price strength), moving-average performance, and drawdowns, then selects one or a small number of assets to hold. It often uses equal cash-weighted allocations within a regime, or picks a single asset (top or bottom by the metric) to tilt toward. Depending on the signals, it may tilt into leveraged growth ETFs (like SOXL or TQQQ) when conditions are favorable, or move into hedges (like UVXY, TMV, or BIL) and gold/treasury exposures when conditions look risky. The intent is to chase upside in favorable markets while deploying protective bets to limit losses during turmoil, with changes inferred from daily scans rather than a static, buy-and-hold approach.
Dynamic daily rotation between leveraged growth and hedges chases upside while controlling risk. Out-of-sample: Sharpe ~1.16 vs SPY 0.96; annualized return ~77% vs ~17%; Calmar ~2.79—strong, risk-adjusted growth vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 579.22% | 14.47% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.9 | |
| 201,845.63% | 71.07% | 0.26% | 0.86% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,194,562.96Regulatory Fees
$17,944.00
Total Slippage
$124,702.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative/tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, risk-off defenses, multi-asset rotation, equity strategy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPTL
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks