Rebalanced Kearsarge - 13% Threshold - Replace BOXX w/ USDU + v4 Pops + v1.2.1 USDU Commodities
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based portfolio that rides tech-led uptrends (often with leverage), flips to cash/bonds/gold/strong‑USD when weak, and adds VIX-based hedges around extremes. Goal: grow in bull runs and defend in selloffs.
It uses simple “heat” scores (0–100) and trend checks to switch gears.
- Offense: when stock trends are healthy, buy tech/semis funds (often leveraged: TECL, SOXL, TQQQ). If things look too hot, briefly hedge with a fear fund (UVXY).
- Defense: when trends weaken, hold T‑Bills/Treasuries (BIL/SHY/IEF), gold (GLD), or a strong‑dollar fund (UUP/USDU).
- Bonds: own bonds while they trend up; else own USDU.
- Small commodities tilt only when they outscore the dollar.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.9 vs SPY ~1.44; max drawdown ~6.3% vs ~18.8%; Calmar ~3.0—delivers superior risk-adjusted returns and downside protection, with tech-driven upside and hedges that outperform the S&P 500 on risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 0.03 | 0 | 0.03 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162.32% | 15.21% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 1,604.37% | 51.66% | 0.65% | 2.7% | 2.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$170,437.05Regulatory Fees
$562.69
Total Slippage
$3,515.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 14, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 13%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, bonds, gold, us dollar, commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 49 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLV
Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks