$RB V1.3 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | double pop bots | 01-29-11 | VXX edition | SHARED
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based “wave rider”: in calm markets it takes about 2x exposure to Nasdaq/S&P (and sometimes semis), buys dips, and runs a Treasury trend trade. When things get hot or choppy, it flips to cash, a volatility hedge, or short/long Treasuries.
- When markets are calm (low recent choppiness), it “surfs” uptrends with about 2x stock exposure in big, liquid themes: Nasdaq-100, S&P 500, and sometimes Semiconductors.
- It buys the one that looks most “washed out” (the lowest recent heat/RSI), aiming for a bounce, and keeps roughly 30% of that sleeve in a trend trade on long-term Treasuries (TMF if rates fall; TMV if rates rise).
- If stocks get too hot (very high short-term heat/RSI), it briefly shifts to a volatility fund (VXX) to catch pullbacks.
- If markets turn choppy (volatility rises above a threshold), it steps aside into T‑Bills (BIL) until conditions calm down.
- It also checks whether bonds are outperforming stocks and whether long Treasuries are trending, to favor either the stock-surfing sleeve or the bond sleeve.
Out-of-sample, this wave-rider targets ~57% annualized return with Calmar ~1.31, improving risk-adjusted performance vs SPY. It seeks bigger upside in calm markets via leveraged sleeves and uses hedges/cash tilts to manage drawdowns (max DD ~43.7%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | 1.56 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.11% | 13.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.75 | |
| 106,949.4% | 136.52% | -0.88% | -1.3% | 1.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,704,939.72Regulatory Fees
$30,683.11
Total Slippage
$203,823.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend-following, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, dip-buying, bond hedging, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks