Ray Dalio (Leveraged)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Leveraged risk-parity mix inspired by All Weather: 30% UPRO, 40% TMF, 15% TYD, 7.5% UYM, 7.5% SHNY; monthly rebalance; aims for balanced risk across stocks, bonds, gold, and materials; high leverage and costs; suitability for experienced investors only.
What it tries to do: balance risk across assets so no single part dominates. It uses five levered ETFs to cover stocks, long bonds, mid-term bonds, commodities, and gold, and it rebalances monthly to keep the targets in line.
Why these assets: Treasuries provide ballast during stock downturns; gold hedges inflation/uncertainty; materials add cyclical growth exposure; the equity levered sleeve (UPRO) provides equity participation with amplified moves.
How leverage affects outcomes: each position aims for 3x daily performance of its underlying index. Over time, compounding can cause actual results to diverge from a simple 3x of cumulative moves. Costs, roll yields (for futures-based ETFs), and tracking error matter.
Important caveats: leveraged ETFs carry heightened risk, including decay in strong trending markets, higher fees, and potential liquidity issues. Rebalancing helps maintain targets but does not eliminate risk. This is a high-risk, complex strategy intended for experienced investors with a long horizon and explicit risk tolerance.
Diversified risk-parity across five levered assets (stocks, bonds, commodities, gold) with monthly rebalancing. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.60 and inflation hedging via gold/treasuries provide a diversification complement to the S&P 500, not a pure equity substitute.
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OOS Start Date
Aug 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
All weather risk-parity, leveraged etfs, macro asset allocation