Rate Momentum
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based momentum strategy using 3x levered sector ETFs to buy the top 2 and short the bottom 2, gated by rate-market RSI signals; 90% invested, 10% cash, rebalanced daily.
Daily rebalanced, rules-based momentum strategy.
- Universe: 8 leveraged ETFs (4 bull, 4 bear) representing major sectors; plus rate/broad-market signals (TMF, SPY, IEF, IWM).
- Signals: RSI-based checks on TMF and broad-market proxies gate whether rotation occurs; within a rotation, rank the 8 ETFs by short-term momentum (4-day window) and pick the top 2 to buy and bottom 2 to short.
- Positioning: Allocate roughly 90% of capital across the four selected ETFs (evenly), leaving about 10% in cash as a buffer.
- Rebalance: Every trading day, updating signals and weights.
- Variants: TMF-guarded rotation vs no-TMF-guard rotation; additional breadth checks (IEF vs IWM) influence which branch is active.
- Risk: High due to leverage, short-side exposure, and daily rebalancing; not suitable for all investors.
Out-of-sample: ~27.9% annualized vs 22.6% for the S&P, using daily long/short sector momentum with rate-gate signals. Aims for higher upside by riding leaders and shorting laggards, with disciplined risk controls—though drawdowns are higher.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 0.74 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138% | 14.71% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 125,337.06% | 209.35% | 8.78% | 11.6% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,543,705.70Regulatory Fees
$70,729.68
Total Slippage
$480,436.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, macro rate regime, long-short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks