Rate Momentum
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based swing strategy in leveraged ETFs. It gauges market heat (SPY), rates tailwinds (TMF), and stocks-vs-bonds strength (IWM vs IEF) to switch between trend-following or contrarian picks, holding the top 2 and ~10% cash.
Daily, it:
1) Checks if the stock market (SPY) is very hot (RSI > 71). RSI is a 0–100 “recent-move speed” score; >70 = hot, >60 = strong.
2) If hot, it also checks if falling rates help (TMF RSI > 60).
3) Chooses bull or bear by which is stronger now: stocks (IWM) or bonds (IEF).
4) Picks two leveraged ETFs on that side: with a rates tailwind it chases recent winners; otherwise it buys/shorts recent laggards. Holds ~10% cash. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims for ~27.9% annualized returns vs 22.6% for the S&P, using a rules-based, daily-rebalanced mix of leveraged ETFs with a 10% cash cushion and regime filters to capture upside while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | 0.75 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143.08% | 15.19% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 127,301.24% | 212.12% | 23.76% | 9.86% | 1.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,740,124.35Regulatory Fees
$69,535.29
Total Slippage
$472,079.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum & mean reversion, leveraged etfs (3x), rates regime filter, risk-on/off signals, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
HIBS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks