Rain's EM Safe Sectors
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, tactical EM strategy. When EM trend is healthy and risk-on, it buys a 3× EM bull (EDC). If EM looks overheated or markets turn defensive, it rotates to bonds/consumer staples or flips to a 3× EM bear (EDZ). High turnover and risk.
Goal: ride EM when the wind is at your back, hide (or short) when it isn’t.
- Trend check: Is EM (EEM) above its long-term average? If yes, lean bullish; if no, get defensive.
- Temperature: A short-term “hot/cold” score (RSI). Oversold EM → buy 3× EM bull (EDC). Overheated EM → switch to 3× EM bear (EDZ).
- Risk signals: If Treasuries/bonds and staples look stronger than stocks, shift partly or fully into a single defensive pick (BSV, TLT, LQD, VBF, XLP, or UGE). Rebalances daily; 3× ETFs are high risk.
Out-of-sample edge: ~62% annualized return vs ~6% for the S&P, with Sharpe ~1.94 and Calmar ~4.36. Higher upside from EM timing and risk-on/off rotation, though drawdowns can be larger in risk-off periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 0.61 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913.58% | 14.41% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 2,557,889,698.57% | 169.42% | -0.5% | 9.1% | 2.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$255,788,979,857.37Regulatory Fees
$861,738,475.64
Total Slippage
$5,027,490,146.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/off, defensive rotation, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BBH
VanEck Biotech ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DLN
WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks