Rain's Concise EM Leverage -> Safe Sectors
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily rule-based EM tilt that switches to a Safe Sectors/bonds hedge when risk signals fire, using EM ETFs (EEM/EDC/EDZ) vs. defensive assets (TLT/LQD/BSV/XLP) with momentum-style checks across multiple windows.
A daily process runs many signals across a wide set of ETFs (EM exposure like EEM/EDC/EDZ and defensive assets like BSV, TLT, LQD, XLP, UGE). Each signal checks recent price strength and momentum (using windows like 10 or 15 days) and compares assets against thresholds. If the majority of signals favor risk-taking, the system tilts toward EM exposure (and related leveraged or bear variants as indicated). If signals indicate risk-off, it shifts into a Safe Sectors or Bonds mix (TOP picks from a short list such as bond ETFs and defender sectors). The selection often uses a bottom/weakest-strongest ranking within the Safe group to keep the defense lean. The process is repeated every trading day, and the exact weights or selections are driven by the nested conditional logic (inner checks feed into outer branches). In short: it uses a ladder of momentum-like tests to decide between EM-focused exposure and a defensive, bond/consumer-staples mix, rebalancing daily.
Out-of-sample, this daily EM tilt beats SPY: oos Sharpe ~1.94 vs 0.58, oos return ~62%/yr vs 6.25%, Calmar ~4.36. Dynamic EM exposure with hedges targets faster growth and better drawdown protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 0.61 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913.58% | 14.41% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 2,557,889,698.57% | 169.42% | -0.5% | 9.1% | 2.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$255,788,979,857.37Regulatory Fees
$861,738,475.64
Total Slippage
$5,027,490,146.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Em equities, risk management, rule-based allocation, etf-driven, momentum/relative strength, daily rebalance, defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BBH
VanEck Biotech ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DLN
WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks