A daily market-timing strategy that switches all-in between QQQY (a Nasdaq-linked income fund) and PSQ (a fund that rises when the Nasdaq falls), based on whether market signals suggest tech stocks are safe to buy or safer to bet against.

This strategy checks the market every day and puts all the money into just one of two funds: QQQY or PSQ. QQQY is the “bullish” choice: it is tied to the Nasdaq-100, so it leans toward large tech-heavy companies. PSQ is the “defensive” choice: it tends to go up when the Nasdaq-100 goes down. To decide, the strategy watches signs of whether stocks look overheated, beaten down, fearful, or in a healthy trend. It uses the S&P 500, Nasdaq, semiconductors, volatility, bonds, commodities, and the U.S. dollar as clues. If markets look too hot or dangerous, it moves to PSQ. If markets look washed out or stable, it moves to QQQY.

Out-of-sample edge: 21.5% annual return vs SPY 18.8%, Sharpe ~1.21 vs 1.18, Calmar ~1.82, max drawdown ~11.8% vs 18.8%, beta ~0.23. A Nasdaq-timing strategy toggling between QQQY and PSQ for higher upside with lower risk than the S&P 500.