QQQ/PSQ - No Leverage
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switch between QQQ and PSQ. It buys QQQ in uptrends or after sharp dips, and moves to PSQ when markets look overheated, volatility jumps, or bond/dollar signals turn risk-off. No leverage is held; leveraged ETFs are only signals.
Each day it holds either QQQ (own the Nasdaq‑100) or PSQ (bet against it). It reads “traffic lights”: stock trend (SPY vs 200‑day), hot/cold scores (RSI: 0–100) on SPY/TQQQ/SOXL, bond trend (TLT and BIL vs IEF), volatility (UVXY), dollar (UUP), and commodities (DBC). It favors QQQ in uptrends or after sharp dips, and flips to PSQ when markets get overheated, volatility spikes, or bond/dollar signals warn of risk.
Adaptive QQQ/PSQ switch: out-of-sample Sharpe 1.46 vs 1.37, returns ~32% vs ~23%, drawdowns ~15% vs ~19%, Calmar ~2.16. Higher risk-adjusted gains and better downside protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.6 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 33,687.25% | 49.93% | -3.29% | -3.02% | 2.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,378,725.22Regulatory Fees
$8,189.53
Total Slippage
$55,293.13
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, market timing, trend + mean reversion, volatility filter, macro regime, daily rebalance, nasdaq-100, qqq vs psq
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks