QQQ Since 2007
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based Nasdaq‑100 strategy. In uptrends it holds QQQ; if things look overheated it hides in long Treasuries (TLT). In weak/down markets it rotates among Treasuries, cash, or short/leveraged Nasdaq funds. Extra caution if QQQ is down >20% YoY.
Daily it picks 1 ETF. It starts with QQQ (Nasdaq‑100). Two “thermometers” guide switches: trend lines (20‑ and 200‑day averages) say up or down; RSI (a short‑term speedometer: high=overheated, low=washed‑out).
In uptrends it holds QQQ unless overheated, then parks in long Treasuries (TLT). In weak/down markets it toggles among Treasuries (TLT/IEF), cash‑like T‑bills (SHV), or short/leveraged Nasdaq funds (PSQ, QID, QLD). In deep bears (QQQ −20%+ YoY) it cuts risk further.
Out-of-sample annualized return of 24.0% vs SPY’s 20.4%, with a Calmar >1 indicating solid risk-adjusted gains. A dynamic mix of QQQ, Treasuries, and cash seeks bigger upside in tech rallies while aiming to limit downside across regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.57 | 0.14 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612.06% | 14.77% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 33,745.2% | 50.49% | 20.1% | 19.17% | 1.74 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,384,520.29Regulatory Fees
$7,885.25
Total Slippage
$52,247.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rules-based, trend + mean reversion, nasdaq-100, treasuries, bear protection, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks