QQQ Bonds Basket l BrianE
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based toggle that goes mostly 3x Nasdaq plus some long Treasuries in uptrends, shifts to dollar and short long-bonds in downtrends, parks in T‑bills/short Treasuries when volatility or overheating hits, and occasionally adds a short UVXY burst hedge.
Daily checks:
- If fear index UVXY’s RSI (>70; a speedometer of recent moves) spikes → park in T‑bills (BIL).
- If tech TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) is overheated (RSI>65) → park in 1‑3yr Treasuries (SHY).
- Else pick Risk‑On vs Risk‑Off by momentum: Risk‑On → mostly TQQQ + some TMF (3x long Treas.), sized by calmness. Risk‑Off → UUP (U.S. dollar) + TMV (3x short long Treas.).
- Extra trend checks (SPY/QQQ/TLT) and “overbought” rules may add brief UVXY or switch to safer sub‑models. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: 22.37% annualized return vs 21.65% for the S&P, with positive alpha (0.045). A regime-switching Nasdaq/Treasuries mix plus volatility hedges aims for higher upside with disciplined risk and diversification beyond the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 0.89 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 627.07% | 14.97% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.92 | |
| 32,288.9% | 50.16% | 0.94% | 0.78% | 1.59 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,238,889.59Regulatory Fees
$13,904.85
Total Slippage
$85,208.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 31, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, leveraged etfs, nasdaq + treasuries, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge, dollar hedge, daily rebalance, tactical momentum
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks