QQQ Bonds Basket l BrianE
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based switch between leveraged tech (TQQQ) plus long Treasuries (TMF) in uptrends, and a defensive mix (UUP, TMV, BIL/SHY) when risk rises, using momentum/trend and volatility cues. High risk; uses 3x ETFs.
This is a daily, rules-based blend of several similar rule sets.
- Growth: TQQQ = 3x Nasdaq‑100 (big tech); TMF = 3x long US Treasuries.
- Defense: UUP = strong US dollar; TMV = 3x short Treasuries; BIL/SHY = cash-like.
- Vol spike: UVXY = VIX futures.
It parks in BIL if volatility surges. If TQQQ looks overheated, it cools in SHY. Otherwise it uses momentum (RSI = a hot/cold speedometer) and trend checks (SPY/QQQ/TLT) to pick Bullish (TQQQ+TMF) or Bearish (UUP+TMV). Weights favor the steadier ETF.
Out-of-sample annualized return: 22.85% vs S&P 21.69%, with a disciplined regime-switching strategy that shifts between leveraged growth and defensive hedges. Strong upside with risk controls (Calmar ~0.80), though drawdowns can be larger in volatile markets.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend and momentum, risk-parity weighting, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, bonds vs tech, regime switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks