QLD FTLT + Ballast | 2007-01-11
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A high-risk, market-timing strategy: 60% swings between leveraged Nasdaq, inverse Nasdaq, and cash-like T-bills; 40% adds steadier ballast through commodities, gold, staples, and more T-bills when trends weaken.
This strategy splits money into two parts: 60% for a fast-moving Nasdaq bet and 40% for “ballast.”
The 60% piece usually buys QLD, a fund that aims to deliver about 2x the daily move of the Nasdaq-100, but only when the market trend looks healthy. If stocks look overheated, it hides in SHV (very short-term Treasury bills). In weaker markets, it may buy PSQ, which rises when the Nasdaq falls, unless the selloff looks extreme enough for a rebound trade back into QLD.
The 40% ballast spreads across commodities, gold, and consumer staples (XLP). It only holds commodities and gold when their own trends look supportive; otherwise it uses SHV.
Out-of-sample edge: ~36.7% annualized return vs ~18.8% S&P, Sharpe ~1.52 vs ~1.16, Calmar ~1.74. Trend-following with ballast hedges aiming higher risk-adjusted growth; drawdowns may exceed the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.6 | 0.32 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679.56% | 10.96% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.63 | |
| 36,009.3% | 34.75% | -1.84% | 2.03% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,610,929.95Regulatory Fees
$6,053.30
Total Slippage
$43,753.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, mean reversion, leveraged equity, inverse equity, commodities, gold, defensive ballast
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IYY
iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VOX
Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF
Stocks