QLD For The Long Term V1.11 (82.0%/41.5% DD) - bail on too low RSI edition - May, 4, 2007
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
An aggressive tech-focused strategy that usually holds leveraged Nasdaq exposure, but steps into bonds or even a bearish fund when market signals turn weak or unusually extreme.
This strategy mainly wants to own QLD, a fund that aims to deliver twice the daily move of the Nasdaq-100, a tech-heavy stock index.
First it checks whether the overall U.S. stock market is in a healthy long-term trend using SPY vs its 200-day average. If yes, it holds QLD unless QLD looks too overheated, in which case it moves to long-term Treasury bonds (TLT).
If the market trend is weak, it gets cautious. It may buy a dip in tech (QLD) or the broad market (SSO) only when the selloff looks bad but not catastrophic. If selling looks extreme, it hides in very short-term Treasury bonds (SHY). Otherwise it may hold QLD, bet against tech with QID, or sit in short-term bonds, depending on short-term trend and momentum.
Aggressive, tech-led strategy aiming to beat the S&P 500 with ~33% annualized out-of-sample return, using bond hedges in extremes. Expect higher risk and ~36% max drawdown vs SPY’s ~19%, but amplified upside in tech rallies.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 0.87 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 639.17% | 10.8% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.62 | |
| 4,484,267.03% | 73.16% | -17.06% | -10.41% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$448,436,702.55Regulatory Fees
$455,547.67
Total Slippage
$4,367,914.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 19, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, nasdaq, tactical asset allocation, trend following, mean reversion, risk management, bonds, inverse etf
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type