QLD For The Long Term V1.1 (89.2%/36.1% DD)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, Nasdaq-focused levered-ETF strategy that mostly buys QLD but hedges with bonds or inverse Nasdaq (QID/SSO) when momentum or trend signals warn of risk. The approach combines RSI momentum and SPY 200-day trend checks to switch assets.
What it does in plain terms:
- You want exposure to the Nasdaq through a leveraged product (QLD) most days.
- Each day, the strategy looks at a few signals to decide what to hold:
1) Is the market behaving like a healthy uptrend? (SPY price vs 200-day moving average) If yes, you keep Nasdaq exposure unless QLD looks extremely overbought (RSI > 79), in which case you move into bonds (TLT) to reduce risk.
2) If the market is not in uptrend (SPY below its 200-day MA), the strategy runs a more defensive set of checks across QLD, QID, SSO, SHY and BSV, selecting a single asset with the strongest momentum signal (low or favorable RSI patterns over roughly 10–12 days) and weighting it more (about 88% of capital) while keeping some cash or a secondary instrument as a buffer. The selection uses a bottom-filter approach (prioritizing the asset with the lowest RSI among candidates) and may choose between direct Nasdaq exposure (QLD), inverse Nasdaq (QID), or an ultra-S&P exposure (SSO) plus bond exposure (SHY, TLT, BSV) depending on momentum and trend.
- Daily rebalance means the position can shift at the end of each trading day, rather than intraday.
- The strategy intentionally uses leveraged ETFs, so returns can be amplified and risk of drawdown larger; it aims to balance upside with defensive hedges during weak markets.
- Tactically, the plan is: stay long Nasdaq when conditions are favorable, flip to bonds or inverse Nasdaq when momentum/trend signals indicate risk, and always rebalance to a single asset (with a bias toward the selected asset).
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq-levered strategy aims for far higher upside: ~47.9% annualized return vs ~22.5% for the S&P. It uses momentum/trend hedges and delivers a Calmar ~1.30, with risk managed but drawdowns can be higher.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.97 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 541.6% | 10.35% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.6 | |
| 8,075,118.85% | 82% | 0.12% | -0.61% | 1.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$807,521,884.59Regulatory Fees
$730,044.00
Total Slippage
$5,234,980.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 7, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Long-term, leveraged-equities, momentum-based hedging, tactical-allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type