QLD For The Long Term V1.1 (89.2%/36.1% DD)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rules-based, daily strategy that rides tech uptrends with 2x Nasdaq (QLD), cools off in long Treasuries when overheated, buys dips in selloffs, and otherwise toggles among QLD, inverse QQQ (QID), or short‑term bonds.
Daily rules.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, hold QLD (2x Nasdaq 100); if QLD looks overheated short term (RSI>79; RSI=0–100 heat meter), step into TLT (long Treasuries).
- If SPY is below its 200‑day: when RSI<30, buy the dip (choose QLD or SSO vs SHY, 88% weight); else use a 20‑day trend to pick QLD, QID (−2x Nasdaq), or BSV (short‑term bonds).
Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~48% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.30 and solid risk-adjusted upside. Leveraged Nasdaq exposure with Treasuries hedges aims for durable growth; higher drawdowns may occur.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.97 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 555.31% | 10.5% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.6 | |
| 8,292,551.81% | 82.46% | 0.99% | -5.44% | 1.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$829,265,181.41Regulatory Fees
$730,044.00
Total Slippage
$5,234,980.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 7, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend/momentum, leveraged & inverse etfs, bonds, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type