QLD For The Long Term V1.1 60/40 with TMV/TMF Momentum | SHARED
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rules‑based 60/40 portfolio: ride tech in uptrends, hide in Treasuries/cash when weak, and even short tech in downtrends. A separate sleeve trades long vs. short long‑term Treasuries. Uses trend lines and a 0–100 “heat” gauge (RSI) to switch.
Two sleeves: 60% stocks, 40% bonds. First, check if the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average (uptrend). If yes, hold mostly 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) with a T‑bill buffer; if that gets too hot, switch to long Treasuries (TLT). If no, park in short‑term Treasuries, buy big tech dips, or use inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ) when the short‑term trend is down. The bond sleeve flips between long (TMF) and short (TMV) long‑term Treasuries, or cash. RSI = a 0–100 heat gauge; moving averages = trendlines. Leveraged = 2–3x daily; inverse = up when the index falls.
Out-of-sample edge: ~37.6% annualized vs ~21.9% SPY; Sharpe ~1.26; Calmar ~1.46. A two-sleeve, trend-following mix that leverages tech in uptrends and shifts to Treasuries/cash in dips—higher drawdowns but stronger risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 0.8 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 696.95% | 13.84% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 133,959.84% | 56.77% | -0.1% | -0.63% | 1.87 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$13,405,983.73Regulatory Fees
$22,597.44
Total Slippage
$148,831.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 12%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, equities, treasuries, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks