QLD For The Long Term V1.1 60/40 with TMV/TMF Momentum | SHARED
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A 60/40 tactical mix that rides trends: 60% in leveraged Nasdaq/S&P when rising, 40% in long‑Treasury momentum (long or short). Uses moving averages and a 0–100 ‘hot/cold’ gauge (RSI) to shift into T‑bills/bonds—or even short—in weak markets.
Split money: 60% stocks, 40% bonds.
Stocks: If the S&P 500 is trending up (price > 200‑day avg), ride a turbocharged Nasdaq fund (mostly TQQQ) with a small T‑bill buffer; if it gets too hot on a 0–100 heat gauge (RSI), park in long Treasuries. If trending down, prefer short-term bonds or even short the Nasdaq unless the short-term trend turns up.
Bonds: Ride big moves in long Treasuries either long (TMF) or short (TMV) using trend/RSI; otherwise hold T‑bills or broad bonds.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted return: ~37.6% annualized vs ~21.9%; Sharpe ~1.26; Calmar ~1.46 with positive alpha. Higher upside, disciplined risk management—even with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 0.8 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713.98% | 14.02% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.85 | |
| 136,212.48% | 57.09% | 0.78% | -2.6% | 1.87 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$13,631,248.09Regulatory Fees
$22,282.60
Total Slippage
$146,686.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 12%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend/momentum, tactical 60/40, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 & s&p 500, long-term treasuries, t-bills/cash, long/short switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks