QLD for the long term HTX mod v0.2 | https://www.investorcollab.com
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
A daily switch among QLD (2x Nasdaq‑100), TLT (long Treasuries), and QID (−2x Nasdaq‑100) using SPY’s 200‑day trend plus QLD’s short‑term “heat” (RSI) and 20‑day trend—aiming to ride tech uptrends, cool off in bonds, or short tech in downtrends.
Daily, it holds one fund: QLD (2x Nasdaq‑100, tech‑heavy), TLT (long‑term US Treasuries), or QID (−2x Nasdaq‑100). If SPY is above its 200‑day average, hold QLD unless QLD’s RSI>77 (RSI = 0–100 “heat” score); then hold TLT. If SPY is below, hold QLD if RSI<32 or if price > 20‑day average; otherwise choose QID or TLT by the higher 12‑day RSI. Note: QLD/QID are leveraged and volatile.
Out-of-sample, this regime-switching strategy targets tech upside and risk-off protection, delivering ~46% annualized return vs SPY ~21%, with Sharpe ~1.11 and Calmar ~1.11, and alpha ~0.18. Higher drawdowns, but stronger upside capture in rallies.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0.93 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 768.23% | 11.42% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.65 | |
| 4,237,015.17% | 70.43% | -3.23% | -4.86% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$423,711,517.39Regulatory Fees
$374,190.42
Total Slippage
$3,589,682.21
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum, rsi, moving average, leveraged etfs, trend-following, market timing, nasdaq-100, bonds, inverse etf