QLD For The Long Term
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tech‑focused timing. In healthy markets it holds QQQ, briefly hedging with PSQ if QQQ gets overheated. In weak markets it buys QLD on deep dips, SPY on milder dips, or rotates to PSQ/SHY. Signals use RSI and moving averages.
Uses simple “trend” and “hot/cold” checks.
Trend: Is SPY above its 200‑day average? (A long‑term health line.)
Hot/cold: 10‑day RSI (0–100; high=hot/overbought, low=cold/oversold).
If trend is up: hold QQQ (Nasdaq‑100). If QQQ is too hot (RSI>81), briefly flip to PSQ (inverse QQQ).
If trend is down: buy QLD (2x QQQ) on deep dips (RSI<30), or SPY on milder dips; otherwise short QQQ via PSQ or sit in SHY (T‑bills) until QQQ firms.
Out-of-sample edge: 36.6% annualized return vs 24.6% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.38, Calmar ~1.54—strong risk-adjusted upside. Tech-timing strategy aims for big gains with built-in hedges, though drawdowns can exceed SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.74 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656.16% | 10.84% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.63 | |
| 53,058.34% | 37.6% | 0.33% | 0.61% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,315,833.83Regulatory Fees
$6,408.75
Total Slippage
$41,659.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, market timing, tech/nasdaq focus, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk-on/off