QLD For The Long Term
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based swing strategy that mostly rides the Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ), shorts it at extreme heat, buys 2x QQQ (QLD) on deep dips, and parks in inverse QQQ or short-term Treasuries when trends weaken; uses SPY’s long-term trend as a market filter.
1) Check market health: if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, conditions are “healthy.” If below, they’re “unhealthy.”
2) In healthy markets: usually own QQQ; but if QQQ is extremely hot (short‑term “speedometer” > 81), briefly switch to PSQ (the inverse) to dodge a pullback.
3) In unhealthy markets: if QQQ is very washed out (<30), go aggressive with QLD (2x QQQ) for a rebound. If the whole market is washed out, buy SPY. If not, and QQQ’s short trend is weak, rotate between PSQ (inverse QQQ) or SHY (short‑term Treasuries), else hold QQQ.
Out-of-sample edge: ~36.6% annualized return vs SPY’s ~24.6%, Calmar ~1.54. Nasdaq-100 tilt with hedges offers stronger long-term growth and solid risk-adjusted performance, though drawdowns can exceed the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.74 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672.33% | 10.98% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.63 | |
| 53,713.89% | 37.77% | 0.83% | -1.83% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,381,388.52Regulatory Fees
$6,408.75
Total Slippage
$41,659.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend + mean reversion, nasdaq-100 focus, leveraged & inverse etfs, hedging, us equities, treasuries