Proven conditions + Confirmation with KMLM
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, tech-focused switcher. Uses RSI comparisons across bonds (AGG), inverse S&P (SH), Tech (XLK), Nasdaq (QQQ), and a trend fund (KMLM) to flip between 3× long Nasdaq (TQQQ), cash (BIL), or 3× short (SQQQ). Aims to ride uptrends and avoid/short downturns.
It compares short-term momentum scores (RSI: a 0–100 “recent up-vs-down” gauge). First it asks if bonds look steadier than a “stocks falling” proxy (AGG vs SH). Then it checks if Tech (XLK) is stronger than a broad trend fund (KMLM, a managed‑futures ETF). It switches among 3× long Nasdaq (TQQQ), cash (BIL), or 3× short (SQQQ) based on those checks. Main exposure: big US Tech.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~55% vs SPY ~17%; Sharpe ~1.12 vs 0.98; Calmar ~2.17. A tech-driven RSI strategy aiming for higher upside with stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P, accepting higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 0.58 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.13% | 14.19% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.87 | |
| 83,575.14% | 265.65% | 0.27% | 5.13% | 2.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,367,514.14Regulatory Fees
$15,153.11
Total Slippage
$103,124.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum (rsi), regime filter, tech/nasdaq-centric, leveraged long/short, risk-on/off, managed-futures confirmation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks