Proven conditions + Confirmation with KMLM
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk market-timing strategy that makes aggressive bets on or against big U.S. tech stocks, using bonds and a defensive trend-following fund to decide when to go long, go short, or sit in cash-like Treasuries.
This strategy is a market-timing system centered on big U.S. tech stocks.
It first checks whether the market looks healthy or defensive using bonds and bearish stock funds. Then it compares tech stocks (XLK) with KMLM, a fund that tends to do better in stressed, trend-driven markets.
If conditions favor tech, it buys TQQQ, a very aggressive fund that aims to magnify gains in the Nasdaq-100. If conditions look shaky, it either hides in BIL (a cash-like Treasury fund) or buys SQQQ, a very aggressive fund that rises when the Nasdaq-100 falls.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P: Sharpe ~1.21 vs ~1.03, annualized return ~63% vs ~17%, Calmar ~2.35. Higher drawdowns exist, but the upside in tech-driven markets is compelling.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | 0.69 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.45% | 15.06% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 125,241.58% | 240.27% | 5.86% | 5.33% | 2.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,534,158.11Regulatory Fees
$21,026.27
Total Slippage
$190,257.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, tactical asset allocation, market timing, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, nasdaq, defensive overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks