Proven conditions + Confirmation with KMLM
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical switch among 3× long Nasdaq (TQQQ), cash-like T‑Bills (BIL), or 3× short Nasdaq (SQQQ). It uses simple strength scores plus a tech‑vs‑managed‑futures check (KMLM) to decide when to risk‑on, sit out, or short.
It scores recent price strength (RSI, a 0–100 “strength” score). Gate 1: if bonds (AGG) look stronger than short stocks (SH), the market isn’t deeply bearish. Then: if tech (XLK) beats managed‑futures (KMLM), put ~90% in TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100); else hold BIL (T‑Bills). If Gate 1 fails, try a rebound: if bonds beat QQQ, still buy TQQQ; else if KMLM beats tech, go short via SQQQ; otherwise hold BIL. Keeps ~10% cash; trades only on signal changes.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P 500: Sharpe 1.42 vs 1.10, Calmar 3.13, alpha +0.40%, and an 84% annualized return vs ~19% for SPY, with 680 days of testing.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | 0.72 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.56% | 15.5% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.94 | |
| 139,598.16% | 263.19% | 13.18% | 8.66% | 2.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$13,969,815.78Regulatory Fees
$17,261.15
Total Slippage
$156,882.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, leveraged nasdaq, risk-on/off switching, tech focus, managed-futures confirmation, cash/t-bills, shorting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks