Proven conditions + Confirmation with KMLM
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical switch among 3× long Nasdaq (TQQQ), cash-like T‑Bills (BIL), or 3× short Nasdaq (SQQQ). It uses simple strength scores plus a tech‑vs‑managed‑futures check (KMLM) to decide when to risk‑on, sit out, or short.
It scores recent price strength (RSI, a 0–100 “strength” score). Gate 1: if bonds (AGG) look stronger than short stocks (SH), the market isn’t deeply bearish. Then: if tech (XLK) beats managed‑futures (KMLM), put ~90% in TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100); else hold BIL (T‑Bills). If Gate 1 fails, try a rebound: if bonds beat QQQ, still buy TQQQ; else if KMLM beats tech, go short via SQQQ; otherwise hold BIL. Keeps ~10% cash; trades only on signal changes.
Out-of-sample: ~55% annualized return vs ~17% for the S&P; Sharpe ~1.12 vs ~0.98; Calmar ~2.17. Tactical Nasdaq leverage with cash buffers and macro checks aims for big upside with disciplined risk vs SPY, but with higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 0.62 | 0.03 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106.96% | 14.67% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.89 | |
| 109,875.51% | 273.57% | 23.8% | 39.85% | 2.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,997,551.34Regulatory Fees
$17,145.33
Total Slippage
$116,972.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, leveraged nasdaq, risk-on/off switching, tech focus, managed-futures confirmation, cash/t-bills, shorting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks