Protected Leverage v2.2 3x S&P 500 / NASDAQ v1.1 + Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily “protected leverage”: when stock trends are healthy and calm, own 3x S&P 500 and 3x Nasdaq (sometimes with 3x Treasuries). When risk rises, shift to T‑Bills or hedges. Uses momentum, volatility, drawdown and bond‑regime checks.
Goal: grow fast in good times, hide in safe assets when trouble hits.
- Uses 3x stock funds (UPRO=3x S&P 500, TQQQ=3x Nasdaq) when trends are healthy and day‑to‑day swings are calm.
- Uses a simple “recent ups vs downs” score (RSI) to judge strength, plus drawdown and volatility brakes.
- When risk rises, it moves to T‑Bills (BIL) or hedges. If rates are rising, it may add a strong‑USD fund (USDU) and inverse stock/bond funds; if rates are falling, it may own 3x Treasuries (TMF) and defensive funds (BTAL, XLP).
- Mixes UPRO/TQQQ by which is calmer; buys sharp dips, avoids chasing big one‑day spikes. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample performance: about 37.3% annualized return vs 21.8% for the S&P 500. Dynamic leverage plus hedging captures big uptrends and shifts to safety when risk rises, offering stronger upside potential while aiming to limit losses.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 0.74 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 34,071.02% | 61.45% | 0.03% | -6.15% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,417,101.93Regulatory Fees
$9,964.75
Total Slippage
$63,048.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, momentum/rsi, volatility filters, drawdown control, bonds/rates regime, hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks