Protected Leverage v2.2 3x S&P 500 / NASDAQ v1.1 + Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL
Today’s Change (Mar 13, 2026)
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About
Daily “protected leverage”: when stock trends are healthy and calm, own 3x S&P 500 and 3x Nasdaq (sometimes with 3x Treasuries). When risk rises, shift to T‑Bills or hedges. Uses momentum, volatility, drawdown and bond‑regime checks.
Goal: grow fast in good times, hide in safe assets when trouble hits.
- Uses 3x stock funds (UPRO=3x S&P 500, TQQQ=3x Nasdaq) when trends are healthy and day‑to‑day swings are calm.
- Uses a simple “recent ups vs downs” score (RSI) to judge strength, plus drawdown and volatility brakes.
- When risk rises, it moves to T‑Bills (BIL) or hedges. If rates are rising, it may add a strong‑USD fund (USDU) and inverse stock/bond funds; if rates are falling, it may own 3x Treasuries (TMF) and defensive funds (BTAL, XLP).
- Mixes UPRO/TQQQ by which is calmer; buys sharp dips, avoids chasing big one‑day spikes. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~37.3% annualized return vs SPY ~21.8%, with protected 3x equity exposure and adaptive hedging to chase big trends while aiming to limit losses. Calmar ~0.75; note drawdowns can be larger in crisis periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352.52% | 13.17% | -2.23% | -2.01% | 0.8 | |
| 31,338.41% | 60.2% | -5.24% | -10.19% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,143,841.43Regulatory Fees
$10,089.87
Total Slippage
$63,878.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, momentum/rsi, volatility filters, drawdown control, bonds/rates regime, hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks