Protected Leverage 3x S&P 500 / NASDAQ v1.1 + Fund Surfing v2.2 | 136% AR | 28% DD | 2011-22
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A fast, rules‑based risk‑on/risk‑off rotation. When bonds look healthy it buys the 4 most recently sold‑off high‑octane funds (mostly 3x stock ETFs). When bonds look weak it shifts to USD, Treasuries (long or short), gold and other defensive picks. Very aggressive.
Step 1: If bonds (BND, broad bond fund) rose over ~2 months → Risk ON; otherwise → Risk OFF.
Risk ON: If fear (UVXY, a “fear gauge” ETF) is calm, buy the 4 most recently sold‑off choices from 3x stock ETFs plus some diversifiers. If fear is hot, either rotate into 2 sold‑off picks from a broader list or choose long vs short Treasuries (TMF vs TMV) based on which just fell less.
Risk OFF: If rates rising (TLT, long Treasuries, is down), hold USD + a bearish hedge. If rates falling, hold gold, long Treasuries, anti‑beta, staples. Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample edge: about 25.7% annualized return vs SPY's 23%. A dynamic risk-on/risk-off rotation targets big upside with leveraged ETF picks and hedges, offering regime diversification. Caveat: drawdowns around 60% vs SPY's ~19%.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etf rotation, mean reversion, volatility filter, interest-rate regime, defensive hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks