Protected Leverage 3x Oct 2011 83.1% CAGR 67.6% DD Leveraged S&P 500 / NASDAQ v1
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based switcher: when bonds act healthy, buy two 3× tech/market funds on short-term dips; when stress hits, rotate to USD and shorts if rates rise, or to gold/long Treasuries/defensive stocks if rates fall. Keeps a cash buffer in Risk ON.
Risk ON if broad bonds (AGG) beat T‑Bills (BIL) over 60 days. Then buy 2 of: 3× semis/tech/Nasdaq/S&P (SOXL, TECL, TQQQ, UPRO) with the lowest 10‑day RSI (short‑term oversold). Keep ~32% cash.
Otherwise Risk OFF. If Treasuries (TLT) lag T‑Bills over 20 days, hold USD (UUP) and short Nasdaq (QID) or short long Treasuries (TBF). If Treasuries beat T‑Bills, hold gold (UGL), 3× Treasuries (TMF), anti‑beta (BTAL), and consumer staples (XLP). Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~48% annualized returns vs ~23% for the S&P, via adaptive risk-on/off and leveraged growth exposure. Higher upside with some increased volatility and drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 1.86 | 0.35 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660.9% | 15.23% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.92 | |
| 156,783.96% | 67.18% | -0.66% | 21.87% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,688,396.31Regulatory Fees
$53,184.18
Total Slippage
$355,769.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 2, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, mean-reversion, trend, equities, bonds, gold, us dollar, defensive, daily rebalance, shorting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks