Protected Leverage 2x S&P 500 / NASDAQ v1.1 + Fund Surfing v2.1 | 18% AR | 80% DD | 2007-22
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressive 2x rotation. Uses bond trends to flip risk on/off. In risk-on, buys four most sold‑off funds from a tech/market/commodity list; in risk-off, holds USD, gold, or defensive staples. Backtest ~18%/yr, but max drawdown ~80%—very high risk.
1) Thermometer: If total US bonds (BND) rose over ~11 weeks, go Risk ON. 2) Risk ON: buy 4 funds with the lowest 21‑day RSI (a 0–100 gauge of recent selling; low=beaten‑up) from: QLD(2x Nasdaq‑100), SSO(2x S&P 500), ROM(2x Tech), UYG(2x Financials), USD(2x Semis; not the dollar), DBC(commodities), BND(bonds). 3) Risk OFF: if long Treasuries (TLT) are falling, hold UUP(US dollar); else hold GLD(gold) + UGE(2x staples).
Out-of-sample: ~33.7% annualized return vs SPY’s ~23%, via risk-on/off 2x bets and safety assets. Higher upside with solid risk-adjusted profile (Calmar ~0.76), though drawdowns can be larger in bear markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 1.24 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542.71% | 10.49% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.6 | |
| 3,298.75% | 20.81% | 0.48% | 7.87% | 0.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$339,874.57Regulatory Fees
$1,574.83
Total Slippage
$8,228.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
2x leveraged etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off, mean reversion (rsi), trend filter, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UGE
ProShares Ultra Consumer Staples
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks