Protected Leverage 2x S&P 500 / NASDAQ v1.1 + Fund Surfing v2.1 | 18% AR | 80% DD | 2007-22
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
An aggressive market-timing strategy: buy recently beaten-up 2x stock funds when bond conditions look healthy, otherwise move to the dollar, gold, or defensive stocks.
This strategy first asks: “Have US bonds been doing well lately?” If yes, it goes into a more aggressive mode and spreads money across 4 of 7 funds that have been the weakest recently, betting they may bounce back.
If bonds have not been doing well, it turns defensive. If long-term Treasury bonds are also falling, it hides in the US dollar. If they are stable or rising, it splits between gold and a defensive consumer-goods stock fund.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~25% vs ~21.7% for the S&P. A regime-switching, selective-leverage approach that chases upside when bonds look healthy and hedges with dollar/gold/defensive assets in stress. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns (~44% vs ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 1.23 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630.92% | 10.86% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.62 | |
| 3,279.18% | 20.02% | 2.72% | 5.28% | 0.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$337,917.74Regulatory Fees
$1,627.27
Total Slippage
$10,192.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, regime switching, mean reversion, sector rotation, defensive hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UGE
ProShares Ultra Consumer Staples
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks