Protect Downside: Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A high-risk, signal-driven tactical strategy that seeks to ride momentum in select assets (notably semiconductors and gold) while using Treasuries and volatility hedges to shield downside, with daily rebalances and a single-asset-at-a-time allocation bias.
In plain language: the system watches a mix of ETFs (short-term bonds as cash equivalents, volatility plays as risk gauges, gold and miners, and leveraged bets on tech/semiconductors). It calculates momentum indicators for these assets and uses a chain of IF rules to decide what to do. If the signals point to a strong, favorable trend, it buys the top-position asset (often a leveraged bet on semiconductors like SOXL or a tech bull like TECL) and may concentrate funds there. If signals indicate risk or a weak market, it keeps money in cash-like assets (BIL/SHY) or in hedges (VIXY, UVXY, SQQQ) to limit losses. Some branches push a secondary exposure (e.g., gold or gold miners) when certain price/momentum conditions hold. The design often selects a single asset (top pick) or a small, hedged pair rather than spreading evenly across many holdings, and it rebalances frequently (even daily in some blocks). RSI and relative-strength measurements are used as the core decision anchors, with thresholds (e.g., overbought/oversold zones) guiding entry/exit. Note: the scheme uses high-leverage vehicles (SOXL, NUGT, TECL, DUST, SOXS) and bear/follow-on hedges, so it aims for big upside moves but comes with substantial risk of large drawdowns during market reversals.
Higher upside with hedges: oos return ≈43.8% vs S&P ≈39.8%; Calmar ≈2.20. Tactical, concentrated bets in semis/tech with cash buffers and risk hedges. Note: drawdowns can reach ~20% in bear markets—suited for risk-tolerant investors.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum strategy, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, risk hedging, sector tilt (semiconductors), gold/miners, bond/cash hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 30 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
FNDE
Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Equity ETF
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
GUNR
FlexShares Global Upstream Natural Resources Index Fund
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks