Proposal V3.0.4.1a | ☢️ Beta Baller + TCCC 💊 | Deez, BrianE, HinnomTX, DereckN, Garen, DJKeyhole 🧙♂️, comrade, WaywardSon, zyzz | 2012 Backtestable | Belcampo69 DD reductions at the cost of lower AR
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
An ensemble, rules-based swing system for leveraged ETFs. It fades extremes (buy dips, sell rips), uses volatility ETFs as an airbag, and lets bonds/commodities decide offense vs defense. Heavy focus on tech/semis, with TMF/TMV for rate regimes.
It runs 5 similar rule-sets with different lookbacks, then blends them.
Core steps: 1) Is the S&P 500 very hot or very cold? If hot, buy volatility as an airbag; if cold, buy a quick-bounce candidate (often tech/semis) if bonds agree. 2) Check rates: rising → favor TMV; falling → favor TMF. 3) If commodities or fear dominate, switch to defense and/or inverse ETFs.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~48.5% vs SPY ~21%; regime-adaptive, rules-based strategy with volatility/bond/commodity hedges designed to capture big upside in tech regimes. Strong upside potential, but expect higher drawdowns (~49% vs ~19% for SPY).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 1.15 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625.62% | 14.83% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 668,704,777,545.47% | 384.71% | 5.15% | -6.89% | 2.53 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$66,870,477,764,547.35Regulatory Fees
$9,806,060,056.82
Total Slippage
$11,202,114,768.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, trend + mean reversion, macro regime filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
Stocks