Project Shiny Christmas - Christmas 2023 Competition Entry
Today’s Change (Feb 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tactical, high‑octane rotation. If the market looks overheated, hold Treasury‑bond momentum + UVXY. Otherwise, trade the two most volatile sectors using 2x bull ETFs—unless their bellwether looks overheated, then switch to 2x inverse. High risk.
1) Check a market “heat gauge” (RSI) on the S&P 500 (SPY).
- If very hot (>70): go defensive—equal‑weight 2 strongest Treasury‑bond ETFs (picked from SHV/SHY/IEI/IEF/TLH/TLT) plus UVXY (a VIX/volatility fund).
- Else: pick the 2 most lively sectors (highest 90‑day volatility). For each, buy 2x bull ETFs unless its bellwether stock looks overheated, then use 2x inverse. Equal‑weight; rebalance only if weights drift ~10%.
Stronger upside vs S&P: ~45% annualized vs 21.7% for SPY, with solid risk-adjusted results (OOS Calmar ~1.48; OOS Sharpe ~1.11). Be ready for bigger drawdowns (~30%) due to leverage-driven moves.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 2.04 | 0.54 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692.18% | 15.56% | -0.17% | 3.34% | 0.94 | |
| 43,642.15% | 52.93% | -14.2% | -17.83% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,374,215.39Regulatory Fees
$13,259.47
Total Slippage
$84,525.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical sector rotation, rsi gating, leveraged 2x etfs, volatility targeting, treasuries momentum, uvxy hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
BIB
ProShares Ultra NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks