Portfolio: V4 | Cautious Fund Surfing | 3x with V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | No K-1 | BIL
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules‑driven rotation using leveraged stock ETFs and long Treasuries. In calm uptrends it runs a 55/45 barbell; in rough markets it buys only deep dips and otherwise parks in T‑Bills. Includes a year‑end tax‑loss swap.
Goal: ride rallies, buy sharp dips, sidestep big slides.
ETFs used: UPRO (3x S&P 500), TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), SPUU (2x S&P), IYW (US Tech), TMF/TYD (3x Treasuries), BIL/SGOV (T‑Bills). SPY/QQQ/SHY guide signals.
Daily rules:
• If calm and not falling: run ~55% stocks (split by recent stability) + 45% long Treasuries.
• If volatile/weak: buy only after ~‑5% weekly dips; don’t chase >+5% one‑day pops; else sit in T‑Bills.
Late‑Nov ETF swap helps tax‑losses.
Out-of-sample edge: ~27.5% annualized return vs SPY ~23%, with Calmar ≈1.04. A disciplined dip-buying barbell (stocks + bonds) aims for higher upside and risk-aware diversification—better long-run potential than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143.97% | 16.77% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.99 | |
| 368.48% | 30.79% | 1.67% | -3.53% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$46,847.99Regulatory Fees
$106.14
Total Slippage
$606.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, buy-the-dip, trend/momentum, volatility filter, bonds hedge, tax‑loss harvesting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IYW
iShares U.S. Technology ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPUU
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index symbol AXSVTN)
Stocks